Introduction
The CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights report features an interactive view of our mortgage performance analysis through December 2021.
Measuring early-stage delinquency rates is important for analyzing the health of the mortgage market. To more comprehensively monitor mortgage performance, CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency as well as transition rates that indicate the percent of mortgages moving from one stage of delinquency to the next.
The report is published monthly with coverage at the national, state and Core Based Statistical Area (CBSA)/Metro level and includes transition rates between states of delinquency and separate breakouts for 120+ day delinquency.
“Nonfarm employment grew by 6.7 million workers during 2021, the largest one-year increase, supporting income growth and keeping more families current on their loans. Nonetheless, places hit hard by natural disasters have experienced a spike in missed payments. Serious delinquency rates for December in the Houma-Thibodaux metro area were nearly two percentage points higher than immediately before Hurricane Ida. ”
– Dr. Frank Nothaft
Chief Economist for CoreLogic
30 Days or More Delinquent – National
In December 2021, 3.3% of mortgages were delinquent by at least 30 days or more including those in foreclosure.
This represents a 2.4-percentage point decrease in the overall delinquency rate compared with December 2020. This is the lowest recorded overall delinquency rate in the U.S. since at least January 1999.
A New Low
The U.S. unemployment rate declined for the sixth straight month in December 2021 to the lowest since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, national home prices increased by 18.5 percent year over year, helping more owners regain equity. The combination of these dynamics pushed the overall mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates to the lowest levels that CoreLogic has recorded in more than two decades.
Loan Performance – National
CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency to more comprehensively monitor mortgage performance.
The nation’s overall delinquency rate for December was 3.4%. The rate for early-stage delinquencies – defined as 30 to 59 days past due – was 1.2% in December 2021, down from 1.4% in December 2020. The share of mortgages 60 to 89 days past due was 0.3%, down from 0.5% in December 2020. The serious delinquency rate – defined as 90 days or more past due, including loans in foreclosure – was 1.9%, down from 3.9% in December 2020.
As of December 2021, the foreclosure inventory rate was 0.2%, down from 0.3% in December 2020.
Transition Rates – National
CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency as well as transition rates that indicate the percent of mortgages moving from one stage of delinquency to the next.
The share of mortgages that transitioned from current to 30-days past due was 0.6%, down from 0.8% in December 2020.
Overall Delinquency – State
Overall delinquency is defined as 30-days or more past due, including those in foreclosure.
In December 2021, all states logged year-over-year declines in their overall delinquency rate. The states with the largest declines were: Nevada (down 3.7 percentage points), Hawaii (down 3.5 percentage points), Florida (down 3.4 percentage points), New Jersey (down 3.3 percentage points) and New York (down 3.2 percentage points).
Serious Delinquency – Metropolitan Areas
Serious delinquency is defined as 90 days or more past due including loans in foreclosure.
There were 1 metropolitan areas where the Serious Delinquency Rate increased.
There were 383 metropolitan areas where the Serious Delinquency Rate remained the same or decreased.
Summary
Measuring early-stage delinquency rates is important for analyzing the health of the mortgage market. To more comprehensively monitor mortgage performance, CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency as well as transition rates that indicate the percent of mortgages moving from one stage of delinquency to the next.
For ongoing housing trends and data, visit the CoreLogic Insights Blog: www.corelogic.com/insights.
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Methodology
The data in the CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights report represents foreclosure and delinquency activity reported through December 2021.
The data in this report accounts for only first liens against a property and does not include secondary liens. The delinquency, transition and foreclosure rates are measured only against homes that have an outstanding mortgage. Homes without mortgage liens are not subject to foreclosure and are, therefore, excluded from the analysis. Approximately one-third of homes nationally are owned outright and do not have a mortgage. CoreLogic has approximately 75% coverage of U.S. foreclosure data.
Source: CoreLogic
The data provided are for use only by the primary recipient or the primary recipient’s publication or broadcast. This data may not be resold, republished or licensed to any other source, including publications and sources owned by the primary recipient’s parent company without prior written permission from CoreLogic. Any CoreLogic data used for publication or broadcast, in whole or in part, must be sourced as coming from CoreLogic, a data and analytics company. For use with broadcast or web content, the citation must directly accompany first reference of the data. If the data are illustrated with maps, charts, graphs or other visual elements, the CoreLogic logo must be included on screen or website. For questions, analysis or interpretation of the data, contact Robin Wachner at [email protected]. Data provided may not be modified without the prior written permission of CoreLogic. Do not use the data in any unlawful manner. The data are compiled from public records, contributory databases and proprietary analytics, and its accuracy is dependent upon these sources.
About CoreLogic
CoreLogic is a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider. The company’s combined data from public, contributory and proprietary sources includes over 4.5 billion records spanning more than 50 years, providing detailed coverage of property, mortgages and other encumbrances, consumer credit, tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance information. The markets CoreLogic serves include real estate and mortgage finance, insurance, capital markets, and the public sector. CoreLogic delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and managed services. Clients rely on CoreLogic to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and mitigate risk. Headquartered in Irvine, Calif., CoreLogic operates in North America, Western Europe and Asia Pacific. For more information, please visit www.corelogic.com.
CORELOGIC and the CoreLogic logo are trademarks of CoreLogic, Inc. and/or its subsidiaries.
Contact
For more information, please email Robin Wachner at [email protected]
